Liberals And Conservatives In Dead Heat: LPC 35, CPC 34, NDP 11, Green11

7th August 2019 (Ottawa, ON) – The governing Liberals and the opposition Conservatives find themselves in a virtual tie with the election campaign due to start in just over a month.

Those are the findings of a new Mainstreet Research/iPolitics/Groupe Capitales Médias poll, which surveyed 2463 Canadians between July 30th and July 31st. The survey has a margin of error of +/- 1.97% and is accurate 19 times out of 20.

“The changes are minor from last month’s survey, but they point to a tighter race than was the case in July,” said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “The Liberals have increased their lead in Ontario but find themselves further behind in British Columbia and in within the margin of error of the Conservatives in Atlantic Canada.”

Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals led by Justin Trudeau has 34.5% (-0.5% since Mainstreet’s last federal poll in July), while the Conservatives led by Andrew Scheer have 34.1% (+0.9%). The NDP led by Jagmeet Singh has 11.1% (+0.7%), while Greens with Elizabeth May at the helm have 11.1% (+0.8%). The Bloc Quebecois has 4.4% (-0.1%) overall, but enjoy 18.6% in Quebec. The People’s Party led by Maxime Bernier has 3.3% (-1.3%).

“As it stands, the Liberals would win a plurality of seats,” continued Maggi. “If these numbers hold, the Liberals would pick up seats in Ontario but lose quite a few in BC and the Atlantic provinces.”

“It would be hard to say what exactly would happen on the back of these numbers,” he added. “It could be a very narrow majority or a very substantial minority where the Liberals would be short of a majority by a few seats, like what happened to their Ontario cousins in 2011.”


Mainstreet Canada 07august2019 by on Scribd

The post Liberals And Conservatives In Dead Heat: LPC 35, CPC 34, NDP 11, Green11 appeared first on Mainstreet Research.

This content was originally published here.



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