Liberals Dominating In The Greater Toronto Area
27th September 2019 (Ottawa, ON) – The Liberal Party of Canada have a substantial fourteen point lead over the Conservatives in the pivotal and seat-rich Greater Toronto Area.
Those are the findings of a Mainstreet Research poll, which surveyed 498 residents of the Greater Toronto Area between September 23rd and 26th. The survey has a margin of error of +/- 4.39% and is accurate 19 times out of 20.
“The Liberals are looking good at the moment in the GTA,” said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “If the election were held today, they would keep every seat that they currently hold in the region and might even threaten to take some away from the Conservatives.”
Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals led by Justin Trudeau have 45.4%, while the Conservatives with Andrew Scheer at the helm have 31.3%. The NDP with Jagmeet Singh as leader have 10.5% and the Green Party led by Elizabeth May come in with 8.3%. The People’s Party with Maxime Bernier have 3.8%.
The Greater Toronto Area, as defined in this survey, includes the following areas: Dufferin County, Durham Region, Peel Region, Simcoe County, and York Region.
“The Liberals have leads in every region except for Durham Region, which confirms our earlier findings in the electoral district of Durham which had the Conservatives leading comfortably,” said Maggi.
One interesting finding in this survey is that there is a near three-way tie between the Liberals, Conservatives, and Greens in Simcoe County, with only six points separating the three.
“Seeing the Conservatives this low in Simcoe County, and with the Greens unlikely to hold their current level of support on election day, it could spell trouble on election day for the Conservative incumbents in this area.”
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