Trudeau Liberals Open Up Lead: LPC 38%, CPC 34%, NDP 8%, Green 11%
10th September 2019 (Ottawa, ON) – The Liberal Party of Canada has opened up a four-point lead over the opposition Conservatives as the 43rd general election is about to get under way.
Those are the findings of a Mainstreet Research/iPolitics/Groupe Capitales Médias poll, which surveyed 1876 Canadians between September 6th to 8th. The survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.26% and is accurate 19 times out of 20.
“This is bad news for Andrew Scheer and the Conservatives as the Liberals have crossed the 40% mark in Atlantic Canada, Quebec, and Ontario,” said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “If the election were held today, the Liberals would comfortably win a majority.”
“The solace for the other parties is that the election is not going to be held today and that they will have the entire writ period to chip into the Liberal lead.”
Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals led by Justin Trudeau have 37.5%, while the Conservatives with Andrew Scheer at the helm have 34%. The NDP with Jagmeet Singh as leader have 8.4% and the Green Party led by Elizabeth May come in with 10.8%. The People’s Party with Maxime Bernier have 4.6%. The Bloc Quebecois with Yves-Francois Blanchet as leader have 3.6% nationally, but have 15.5% support in Quebec.
“The regional differences that we have been observing for a while are becoming more and more pronounced,” continued Maggi. “While the Liberals have built up bigger leads east of Manitoba, the Conservatives have widened the gap between themselves and the Liberals in British Columbia and Alberta.”
The federal election is scheduled to be held on October 21st. Mainstreet Research will be providing daily updates on federal voting intentions along with other insights exclusively to iPolitics as part of its 2019 Premium Election Package.
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